After 8-year rule of Black Barack Obama, Donald J. Trump managed to defeat his competitor Hillary Clinton and win the presidential race in November 2016. His victory was owed to his hatred he espoused against the immigrants, the Muslims and other minorities in America and his pledge to make America great again. His pro-white rhetoric won the hearts of the white Christian evangelic and others who had been marginalized by the corporate controlled globalized world. Above all, he gave bigger commitments than Hillary to the powers that matter.
Trump claimed ‘America First’, and vowed to make America great again. His penchant for fascism and racism exacted dissonance and racial discrimination against the black and brown Americans and the immigrants. Never before the USA stood so sharply divided and politically polarized as was witnessed during his 4-year rule.
Trump emasculated his predecessors policies of globalization, multi-laterism and international agreements signed under WTO and instead promoted uni-laterism and despotism. Obama’s Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) initiative which accounted for 40% of global GDP and aimed at containing China’s economic surge was scrapped. In December 2019, the appellate body of WTO was dismantled.
Dissolution of TPP gave an open field to China to boost its economic power. It hastened to form Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), a free trade agreement, which has morphed into the world's largest trading bloc and marks a significant achievement for China as it battles the U.S. for influence and economic supremacy in the Asia-Pacific region. The RCEP which excluded USA together with BRI project, the ECO, BRICS and Asian Development Bank have paved the way for China to substantially enhance its trade and to become the leading economic giant.
While China expanded its influence through the policy of peace, friendship, connectivity and shared profits, Trump intensified trade war with his chief rival China and levied tariffs as well as imposed sanctions. He strained relations with EU and NATO asking them to increase their share of expenditures. Construction of wall strained the US-Mexico relations. He used tariffs as a tool to bring supply chains to the US, reduce deficit, boost local industry, create jobs and improve the lives of American working class. He viewed imports as a threat to national security and imposed tariffs on all the US trading partners, which were contested and a tit-for-tat response given.
The trade war didn’t help Trump in achieving any of the objectives. The thoughtless tariff policy coupled with the pandemic hit the American economy and the US industries hard. Trump added $ 7 trillion to the country’s deficit. The country faced worst ever unemployment crisis with 10 million unemployed. Trump will be the first American president to leave behind over 3 million jobless. Till Dec 20, the Covid-19 deaths have risen to 316, 202, and infected cases to 17,659,271, which are highest in the world. Figures could be much less had the Trump administration combated the disease seriously. So far, the vaccine has not been manufactured to cure the disease. His tax cuts given to the highest earners in 2017 made the wealthy wealthier and the poor poorer. Never before the US had landed in such a big mess.
Trump bent over backwards to fulfil the illegal demands of Tel Aviv and kept Israeli interests above American interests. Concessions granted to Israel were at the cost of Palestinians. Trump’s son-in-law Kushner and pro-Israel billionaire Sheldon Adelson played a big role in extracting extraordinary favors from Trump in favor of Netanyahu at the cost of Palestinians. Sheldon also had a role in provoking Trump to adopt an offensive posture against Iran.
Deficient of rationality, paranoid and vengeful Trump and his team of hawks’ acted irresponsibly in dealing with global affairs and failed to resolve any conflict.
Trump subjected Syrian airbase to cruise missiles attack, and upped the ante in Afghanistan by increasing troop level and dropping mother of all bombs on Nangarhar. He blamed Pakistan for the instability in Afghanistan, threatened of dire action and ceased payment of CSF. Like Bush and Obama, he also overlooked India’s cross border terrorism and disinformation campaign against Pakistan and further buttressed its military strength.
While Obama succeeded in rolling back Iran’s nuclear program, Trump provoked Iran to restart fissile production after he cancelled the nuclear agreement and re-imposed sanctions in 2018 in his bid to please Israel. Policy of maximum pressure backfired. So did killing of IRGC commander Gen Qassem which was promptly retaliated by Iran in the form of missiles attack on American airbase in Iraq. Playing upon the security fears of Saudi Arabia, he made it sign $ 100 billion defence deal and used its influence to make UAE, Bahrain and Morocco establish ties with Israel. He blamed China for Covid-19, and kept flexing muscles against Iran. His unsuccessful saber-rattling with North Korea’s Kim Jong reduced his stature and enhanced Kim’s stature.
Giving the devil his due, as opposed to Bush and Obama who ransacked several Muslim countries, Trump didn’t take the US war into any country. Obama couldn’t take peace talks with Taliban to a logical end but Trump opened peace talks with the Taliban and succeeded in inking historic peace agreement at Doha in February 2019. He pledged to bring home all American soldiers from Afghanistan by this Christmas. He took this initiative in spite of strong opposition from Pentagon, CIA, US military Commander at Kabul, the Kabul regime, Israel and India.
His lackluster approach towards the pandemic and doing away with Obamacare, dug the last nail in his coffin. But for the ill-effects of Covid-19, Trump could have clinched victory. He polled 8 million more votes (70 million) than he did in November 2016. Biden polled 7 million more votes than him.
Driven by cult like behavior, Trump continued to display his reckless tendencies after losing the political battle by not accepting his defeat. He sacked Christopher Krebs, Director CISA (Cyber Security and Infrastructures), for telling the truth that the presidential election was fair. Earlier on, he had fired Defense Secretary Asper for opposing the troop withdrawal from Afghanistan and launching an attack on Iran. It is feared that he may initiate some rash action before January 20 to offset the inaugural ceremony which he intends to skip. He is provoking Israel to attack Iranian nuclear sites and India to carryout surgical strike or a limited attack in Pakistan.
Once out of Oval Office, Trump may not be as lucky as Richard Nixon whose downfall in 1974 owing to Watergate scandal was one of the most dramatic events of the US history. Faced with impeachment, he had resigned. He escaped prison because his successor Gerald Ford granted him pardon. But 29 of his aides were indicted and imprisoned. Bill Clinton escaped impeachment on account of Mona Lewinsky scandal.
After Nixon, Trump is the second US President who faced such a predicament. He survived one impeachment, 26 accusations of sexual misconduct, and about 4000 lawsuits. Few people have evaded consequences more cunningly than Trump.
In the backdrop of Trump’s follies and his truculence, he may not be able to save himself from the noose of accountability. And so will be the case with Trump’s team of hawks and their fate could be far worse. He is likely to remain immersed in contesting multiple lawsuits related to criminal charges that are being pursued by Attorney Generals of Manhattan District and New York. Bill Clinton had to cough out $ 10 million for his legal fees fighting his Lewinsky case. Trump already under financial strains due to the effects of Covid-19 on his business enterprises, will have to pay much more. He is required to repay $300 million in loans that he had personally guaranteed. His $900 million real-estate debt will be due in next 4 years’ time.
These constraints had made him hyper sensitive and emotional to the extent that he stated that he will not concede defeat and will not vacate the White House. That’s why he was desperately wanting to win election at all cost and the very thought of losing scared him. Anyone telling him that he was losing sent him into fits of anger. For him losing amounted to death sentence and that’s why he behaved like a terrified boy. In the last polls in November 2016, once he saw that Hillary Clinton was much ahead of him, he reached his private plane to fly off to another country. This time, he might opt for a country which has no extradition treaty with USA.
Although he is still putting up resistance and is not gracefully conceding defeat, however, his complaints of fraud have been rejected by the Election Commission. 59 lawsuits his legal team initiated were dismissed by the courts. Recounting in some constituencies reconfirmed Biden’s victory. The Supreme Court also rebuffed his plea of fraud, since he couldn’t furnish a shred of evidence to prove his accusations. What is more pathetic is Trump’s Republican Party standing behind him.
His unwarranted resistance and blatant lies to prove that the elections were rigged have done harm to the democratic norms of the US and disturbed the transition period during which the new incumbent receives briefings from the National Security, Pentagon, CIA and the State Department. Probability of Trump getting indicted on charge of tax fraud is high. If so, it’s to be seen whether Biden emulates Ford and pardons him, or let him go behind the bars.
The hullabaloo created by the losing Trump has subsided and the presidential transition period is few weeks away after which Joe Biden will hold the reins on mid-day January 20, 2021. The big question is, will there be a change? Seemingly not, since the culture of the ruling government in the US governed by the Zionists, the Jewish community in USA, the Pentagon and Israel cannot possibly change for the good of the country, its people and the world. The US is beset with domestic extremism, racism, white supremacy, gun violence and organized crime. The 1% rich having monopoly over the corporates, banks, media, film world will keep multiplying their wealth and the rest would continue to languish in poverty.
“Thank God that at this hour I am dangerous to the war profiteers of this country who rob the people on the one hand, and rob and debase the government on the other; and then with their pockets and wallets stuffed with the filthy, bloodstained profits of war, wrap the sacred folds of the Stars and Stripes about them and [about] their blatant hypocrisy to the world." Kate Richards O'Hare's Address To the Court Proceedings on the Sentencing of Mrs. Kate Richards O'Hare by Hon Martin J. Wade, 1 P. M., Friday, Dec 14, 1917.
America is in desperate need of political change, national unity, harmony, and to replace discord, abhorrence, mayhem, with harmony, amiability, equitable justice and social order. Hopefully, the Biden-Kamala administration can begin to recover democracy and to move forward in cooperation with the rest of the world to address the many crises we face.
Would Joe Biden learn from Trump’s wayward and negligent behavior and offer hope for change and better global relationships including Russia, China and the Arab Middle East? Pakistan which has sacrificed the most and produced best results in fighting the US imposed war on terror has been given a raw deal. Would it be compensated and treated honorably? Obama and Trump had promised to help settle the Kashmir dispute but their promise proved illusory. Would Biden do it? Would he bring a change in pro-Israel and anti-Palestinian policy? Will he end the 19-year war in Afghanistan and restore peace in the Middle East? These and many other issues which need to be tackled by Joe Biden will be discussed in my next write-up.
The writer is a retired Brig Gen, war veteran, took part in epic battle of Hilli, defence & security analyst, international columnist, author of five books, Chairman Thinkers Forum Pakistan, Director Measac Research Centre, Member CWC PESS & Veterans Think Tank, Member Council TJP. firstname.lastname@example.org